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The future is gnawing at homeowner Scott Klimek.
Will the interest rate on his adjustable-rate mortgage go up? Will he
be able to afford the monthly payments if it does?
Klimek,
47, bought his home in Brighton, Colo., with a five-year ARM. "If it
was, like, this year that it was going to adjust, then I would really
be worried, but I'm just moderately worried," says Klimek. He has four
more years until the rate on his mortgage changes.
He is not alone.
An
AP-AOL Real Estate Poll found that more than one-third -- 36 percent --
of those surveyed with adjustable-rate mortgages worry that they won't
be able to afford their monthly mortgage payments if their interest
rates increase.
Sixty-four percent, meanwhile, aren't sweating it and say they're not concerned about such an scenario.
The
poll also found that those who believe that housing prices will go up
were more likely to have adjustable-rate mortgages than those who think
prices will go down or stay the same.
In the boom
days, home sales racked up record highs for five years in a row, with
the last one in 2005. Home values skyrocketed, growing by double
digits, which made homeowners feel wealthy but some house hunters feel
poor. Still, low mortgage rates -- at their best levels in decades --
lured buyers, including some people who stretched to buy a pricey home
that they otherwise probably couldn't afford.
The
situation is different these days. Mortgage rates have gone up. Home
prices have dropped in some markets, while in others not rising nowhere
near the pace that they had during the boom times.
This new climate has clobbered some homeowners.
Joann
Clapp, 50, of Cynthiana, Ky., has suffered a double whammy. She
recently moved and hasn't been able to sell her old home, so she is
paying on two adjustable-rate mortgages. The rise in interest rates has
hurt her finances "big time," she says.
Of all U.S.
homeowners with a mortgage, 24 percent have an adjustable rate, while
76 percent have a fixed-rate mortgage, according to the Mortgage
Bankers Association.
Initial rates on adjustable mortgages have gone up faster than those on longer-term, fixed-rate loans.
Last
week rates on one-year ARMs stood at 5.60 percent, up from 4.91 percent
a year ago, says Freddie Mac. Rates on 30-year mortgages averaged 6.40
percent, compared to 6.15 percent a year earlier.
Klimek
said he was advised that an adjustable-rate mortgage was his best
option to finance the home he wanted to buy. "It just worked out to get
us in the house," he recalls. "We were in a townhome and we wanted to
get out of there."
He would like to refinance and get
the security of a fixed-rate mortgage before his ARM adjusts in four
years but isn't sure he'll be able to swing it. "I think it could
happen," he says.
The AP-AOL poll found that a third
-- 35 percent -- of likely future buyers say they'll seek an
adjustable-rate mortgage to finance their home purchase.
People
most likely to seek adjustable-rate mortgages are first-time home
buyers, younger people, those with less education and lower incomes,
unmarried adults and minorities, the AP-AOL poll says.
Experts
suggest that such prospective home buyers do some financial
soul-searching before taking out an adjustable-rate mortgage.
"They
should not assume that the value of their home will rise consistently
or even considerably, and they should not assume that their incomes
will rise rapidly," says Lynn Reaser, chief economist at Bank of
America's Investment Strategies Group. "They should examine the
worst-case scenario ... whether or not they could afford their payments
with their current home price and income level."
And, first-time buyers shouldn't get locked in to the notion that their first home must be their dream home.
"Many
Americans have lost the view of the so-called starter house," says
Reaser. "People may want to take a more conservative view of that first
home before they move to the mega-mansion."
The
AP-AOL Real Estate poll of 2,001 adults, including 289 recent
homebuyers and 401 likely future homebuyers, was conducted by telephone
Sept. 19-26 by Ipsos. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 2
percentage points for all adults, 6 percentage points for recent
homebuyers and 5 percentage points for likely future homebuyers.
Associated Press Writer Kasie Hunt and Associated Press manager of news surveys Trevor Tompson contributed to this report.
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